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Probability Calculator
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Solution
Type: Binomial Distribution
Parameters: n = 10, k = 6, p = 0.5
Formula: P(X=k) = C(n,k) × p^k × (1−p)^(n−k)
Step 1: C(10,6) = 10!/(6!×4!) = 210 Step 2: p^6 = 0.5^6 = 0.015625 Step 3: (1−p)^4 = 0.5^4 = 0.0625 Step 4: P = 210 × 0.015625 × 0.0625 = 0.2051 Result: P(X=6) ≈ 0.2051 (20.51%) Interpretation: ~20.5% chance of exactly 6 heads in 10 flips.
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What’s Covered

6 probability types, all with full working

From basic coin-flip problems to Bayesian inference — every calculation shown step by step.

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Binomial probability

Exact probability of k successes in n trials with fixed probability p. Includes combinations calculation.

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Normal distribution

Area under the curve, z-score conversion, and tail probabilities for continuous data problems.

Poisson distribution

Probability of k events in a fixed interval given average rate λ. Common in biology and operations.

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Conditional probability

P(A|B) problems, independence testing, and joint probability calculations with Venn diagram logic.

Probability Calculator with Steps — How It Works

A probability calculator with steps goes beyond returning a decimal answer. It shows which distribution applies to the problem, substitutes the given values into the formula, computes each intermediate calculation, and interprets the final result in plain English. This is useful both for checking homework answers and for understanding why a particular method was used.

Different probability problems require different approaches. A question about the number of heads in coin flips uses the binomial distribution. A question about waiting times or rare events uses Poisson. A question about standardized test scores or heights uses the normal distribution. Choosing the wrong distribution is one of the most common errors students make — this solver identifies the correct approach before calculating.

Probability Distributions Supported

Binomial Distribution

The binomial distribution models the number of successes in n independent Bernoulli trials, each with probability p. It requires three inputs: n (number of trials), k (desired number of successes), and p (success probability). The formula P(X=k) = C(n,k) × p^k × (1−p)^(n−k) is applied step by step, with the binomial coefficient C(n,k) calculated explicitly.

Normal Distribution

Normal distribution problems involve converting a raw score to a z-score and finding the corresponding area under the standard normal curve. The solver shows the z = (x − μ) / σ conversion, then looks up or calculates the cumulative probability for one-tailed or two-tailed problems.

Poisson Distribution

The Poisson distribution gives the probability of exactly k events occurring in a fixed interval when the average rate is λ. The formula P(X=k) = (e^−λ × λ^k) / k! is applied with all components calculated and shown.

Conditional Probability and Bayes’ Theorem

Conditional probability problems ask for P(A|B) — the probability of A given that B has occurred. The solver applies P(A|B) = P(A∩B) / P(B) and, for Bayes’ problems, works through the full posterior calculation with all prior and likelihood values shown.

Tips for Accurate Results

  • Identify whether the problem gives you exact counts (binomial/Poisson) or continuous measurements (normal)
  • For normal distribution problems, check whether you need the area to the left, right, or between two values
  • For binomial problems, confirm that trials are independent and p is constant across trials
  • For conditional probability, check whether events are mutually exclusive or independent before calculating
FAQ

Common questions

Use binomial for yes/no outcomes in a fixed number of trials. Use Poisson for counts of rare events over a time or area. Use normal for continuous measurements that are roughly bell-shaped. The solver identifies the distribution automatically from your problem description.
Yes. Cumulative probability questions like P(X ≤ k) or P(X ≥ k) are handled by summing individual probabilities or using the complement rule. The full working is shown either way.
A z-score measures how many standard deviations a value is from the mean. It’s calculated as z = (x − μ) / σ. Once you have the z-score, you can find the probability using the standard normal table. The solver shows both the conversion and the final probability.
Yes. For binomial problems, C(n,k) is calculated explicitly with the factorial expansion shown. For standalone permutation or combination questions, the full P(n,r) or C(n,r) working is included.

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